The current dollar value of PI coin and the price outlook for 2025

According to the latest market data from Gate, as of August 15, 2025, the price of Pi coin (PI) is $0.39, with a rise of 8.31% over the past week. However, it has fallen 87% from the historical high of $2.98 recorded at the time of the Mainnet launch in February, reflecting the intense struggle in the market between liquidity pressure and the technical transition period.

##Current Status and Core Challenges After Mainnet Launch

1. Technical indicators and market sentiment divergence: Pi Network officially launched its Open Mainnet on February 20, 2025, marking its transformation from a mobile mining experiment to a globally tradable digital asset. Currently, over 12 million accounts have completed the migration to the Mainnet, but on-chain activity is far below expectations—daily active wallets range only from 20,000 to 40,000, creating a significant gap compared to the project's claim of 60 million users. From a technical perspective, the current RSI is at 38.4 (close to the oversold zone), the MACD momentum is weak, and the price is oscillating in the $0.36 - $0.44 range. If it breaks through the $0.78 resistance level, it may initiate a new rising channel.
2. Whale activity intensifies market fluctuations: On-chain monitoring shows that an anonymous wallet has been continuously increasing its holdings of PI since April, currently holding 351 million coins, ranking as the sixth largest address in the entire network. During the same period, the exchange's PI reserves decreased by 5%, which temporarily alleviated selling pressure, but the potential selling risk from large holdings still hangs like a sword.

Key Events in August: Token Unlocking and Exchange Games

1. 276M tokens unlocked trigger inflation anxiety: This month, 276 million PI will be released (accounting for 3.5% of circulation). Historical data shows that similar unlocking events have previously caused a 34% price drop. This unlocking scale is equivalent to 2.4 times the current average daily trading volume and may pose a challenge to the historical low of $0.32.
2. Binance listing pending: Although Binance Square's poll in February showed that 86% of users support the listing of PI (with nearly 295,000 votes), analyst Dr. Altcoin pointed out that the Pi core team has not fully disclosed the Mainnet roadmap and tokenomics, leading to compliance concerns that make major exchanges cautious. If successfully listed on Binance, it is expected to bring a 30%-50% pulse rise.

##2025 Price Prediction: Three Scenarios from Institutional Models Table: Comprehensive Analysis of PI Coin Price Prediction by the End of 2025

| Prediction Type | Price Range | Core Logic | Probability Assessment | | -------------- | ------------- | -------------------------------------------------- | -------- | | Conservative Prediction | $0.4 - $1.5 | Early user selling pressure, lack of ecological applications, technical bottlenecks (TPS only 50,000) | High | | Mainstream institutions expect | $3.78 | Based on 45 million users releasing liquidity + exchange listing expectations | Medium | | Extreme Optimistic Model | $620 | Requires mature DeFi ecosystem, institutional capital entry, and global compliance | Extremely low |

1. Conservative scenario ($0.4 - $1.5) Support point: Long-term inflation pressure from a total supply of 100 billion coins, coupled with a lack of actual application scenarios (currently only governance and transaction fees). If Bitcoin enters a bear market, PI may drop to $0.1.
2. Neutral Scenario ($3.78) Assumptions: PI is listed on Binance or Coinbase, activating a trading demand of tens of millions of users. This price corresponds to a market cap of 37.8 billion dollars, close to the current market cap level of Dogecoin (DOGE).
3. Extreme scenarios ($620+) must meet the following conditions:

• The Stanford team achieved Visa-level throughput of 65,000 TPS.
• Regulatory authorities grant clear licenses
• There has not yet been observed substantial progress supporting the expectation of implementing payment scenarios for merchants at the scale of tens of millions.

##Investor Operation Suggestions

1. In the short term (1-3 months), closely monitor two major catalysts: the progress of the selling pressure digestion after the token unlock at the end of August and the official announcement of the listing on Binance. From a technical perspective, it is recommended to set a defensive position at $0.36, and if it breaks through $0.44, a small position can be followed.

2. In the long term (2-3 years), if ecological construction accelerates (such as integration of DeFi and cross-border payments), the price may evolve towards the $5 - $10 range. Refer to Dr. Altcoin's strategy: regular investment accumulation + 5-year holding period, keeping the allocation ratio within 5% of total assets.

The essential contradiction of the market: The core of PI's valuation lies in the race between "the authenticity of user scale" and "the practical utility of the token." When 9.11 million Mainnet wallets face a potential supply of 100 billion, only explosive ecological growth can reverse the supply-demand balance.