The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate in July is 74.7%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September is 69.7%.

【比推】According to the Federal Reserve observations: The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged in July is 74.7%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 25.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged in September is 7.6%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 69.7%, and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 22.8%. The "small non-farm" data released on Wednesday evening unexpectedly recorded negative values, and the U.S. non-farm employment data will be released on Thursday evening Beijing time.