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Market sentiment is extremely greedy. The total Lock-up Position in DeFi has surged by 13.67%. The AI Agent project has ignited a new hotspot.
Market Overview
Main Market Trends
Market Sentiment and Trends: The market sentiment index has risen to 91%, entering the extreme greed zone. BTC briefly broke through $100,000 on Thursday before pulling back, but overall market resilience remains strong. ETH is performing strongly, driving the entire cryptocurrency market upward, indicating continued optimism towards mainstream coins.
Capital Flow Analysis: This week, the market capitalization of stablecoins continued to grow, with USDT increasing by 1.74% to $141 billion and USDC rising by 2.03% to $40.2 billion, indicating a continuous inflow of new funds into the crypto market. On-chain data shows that large transfers are active, and there are clear signs of institutional capital entering the market. The OTC premium is within a reasonable range, indicating a healthy supply and demand for market funds.
DeFi Performance: The total locked value of DeFi (TVL) increased from $46.8 billion to $53.2 billion, a growth of 13.67%. Liquidity staking projects performed the best, primarily benefiting from the rise in underlying asset prices and an increase in staking yields. The activity of lending protocols has significantly increased, reflecting a rise in leverage demand. DEX trading volume continues to rise, enhancing market activity.
Meme Coin Market: The performance of the Meme coin sector has been sluggish this week, with a weekly return rate of only 11.94%. The number of new project launches has decreased, leading to reduced investor interest. Funds are starting to shift towards projects with practical applications and fundamentals. The level of discussion on social media has declined, indicating a decrease in investors' risk appetite.
Hot Attention: Layer 1 projects have received the highest social media attention, with the weekly return rate of the PayFi track reaching 40.04%. AI Agent projects are starting to gain a new round of market attention, especially for projects on the Solana, TON, and Base chains. High-yield staking products in DeFi continue to attract attention. The trading activity in the NFT market has seen a rebound, but overall valuations are still searching for a bottom.
Investment Advice: It is recommended that investors maintain a cautiously optimistic attitude, manage risks well, and set reasonable stop losses. Focus on allocating resources to liquid staking and AI Agent sectors, seizing opportunities from capital rotation. Pay attention to the impact of important events, including next week's Microsoft Bitcoin investment proposal, US CPI data, and the European Central Bank interest rate decision. Maintain sufficient liquidity to respond to potential market fluctuations and adopt a gradual accumulation strategy to avoid chasing highs.
Market Sentiment Index Analysis
Overview of the overall market trend ###
Hot Track
Tron Ecosystem
This week, the price of TRX tokens has surged significantly, bringing high market enthusiasm to Tron. With continuous capital inflow, Tron, as the main trading chain for USDT, has also seen a substantial increase in on-chain activities this week.
On-chain data of Tron
Based on the above data, it can be seen that the Tron chain is maintaining rapid development. The TRX price has surged, the value of the underlying assets has increased, and its special status as the main trading chain for USDT has attracted a large number of users to participate, driving the overall development of the Tron ecosystem.
AI Agent
Since the AI concept entered the Crypto market at the end of last year, the AI track has been a hot topic. After the launch of the first AI Agent token GOAT in October this year, AI Agent Meme quickly became the new focus of the market. Subsequently, projects like ACT emerged, and investors turned their attention to AI Agent launch platforms such as Virtuals Protocol and vvaifu.fun. The AI Agent track is gradually forming three sub-tracks: Meme coins, issuance platforms, and underlying infrastructure.
Currently, the AI Agent project is primarily developing on the Solana, TON, and Base chains. Solana mainly focuses on vvaifu.fun, Base primarily involves the Virtuals Protocol and AI Agent Layer, while TON mainly features Clanker. In the past half month, the prices of VVAIFU, VIRTUAL, and CLANKER have rapidly increased, forming a certain market capitalization scale.
These projects have not yet been launched on major exchanges, but considering that ACT, GOAT, and ANON have already been launched on platforms like Binance, the AI Agent launch platform project may also go live on major exchanges in the future. It is still in the early stages and worth paying attention to.
OpenAI has recently showcased new products for 12 consecutive days, sparking market speculation about the AI sector. If the market does not experience significant fluctuations, the AI sector may see a good increase in the next 10 days. It is advisable to pay more attention to AI-related projects in the short term, as investment opportunities may arise.
Traditional AI Projects in the Crypto Market
| Token | Project Name | Weekly Change | Circulating Market Cap | |-------|-----------------|--------|---------------| | TAO | Bittensor | 22.46% | $5,319,989,872 | | FET | Fetch.ai | 25.89% | $5,288,426,405 | | RENDER| Render | 19.65% | $5,227,613,836 | | WLD | Worldcoin | 43.41% | $2,986,557,188 | | AKT | Akash Network | 6.87% | $1,121,411,518 | | ARKM | Arkham | 15.36% | $830,921,472 | | GLM | Golem | 12.47% | $523,951,936 | | AGIX | SingularityNET | 20.58% | $296,226,702 | | TRAC | OriginTrail | 8.01% | $453,330,796 |
DeFi track
TVL Growth Ranking
The top 5 projects by TVL growth in the past week( do not include smaller projects, with a standard of over 30 million USD)
| Project Name | Weekly Growth Rate | TVL(million) | |-------------|----------|--------------| | BounceBit | 134.26% | 450.13 | | Astherus | 102.65% | 132.13 | | StakeDAO | 77.17% | 176.42 | | Flexa | 74.51% | 338.32 | | SaucerSwap | 68.16% | 136.37 |
BounceBit(BB):(Recommendation Index:⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Astherus( Unissued Tokens ): ( Recommendation Index: ⭐️⭐️⭐️ )
Stake DAO(SDT):(Recommendation Index:⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Flexa( Unissued Coins ): ( Recommendation Index: ⭐️⭐️)
SaucerSwap(SAUCE):( Recommendation Index: ⭐️⭐️⭐️)
In summary, the projects with significant TVL growth this week are primarily concentrated in the liquid staking track (LRT).
Overall Performance of the Track
Stablecoin market cap steadily grows: USDT increases by 1.74% to $141 billion, USDC increases by 2.03% to $40.2 billion, indicating continuous capital inflow into the market.
Liquidity gradually increases: The risk-free arbitrage rates in traditional markets decline, while the arbitrage rates of on-chain DeFi projects increase due to the rise in asset values, making a return to DeFi a better choice.
Funding Situation: The TVL of DeFi projects increased from $46.8 billion to $53.2 billion, a growth of 13.67%, maintaining a continuous rise for nearly two months, proving that funds are continuously flowing into DeFi projects.
In-depth Analysis
Driving Forces for Increase:
BTC and ETH have both maintained strong growth this week, with investors becoming more optimistic about their future trends. The continuous strengthening of ETH prices has increased the APY of various DeFi projects, attracting investors to actively participate while holding the original assets and increasing returns.
Growth Leader:
The performance of liquid staking projects is outstanding. The prices of underlying assets from major public chains have risen, boosting the confidence of token holders and encouraging participation in other investment activities to increase returns. Liquid staking projects have become key, enhancing yields by releasing liquidity without changing the number of underlying assets held. As the price of ETH rises, it is expected that the prices of various public chains will also increase, driving growth in corresponding liquid staking projects.
Investors are advised to pay more attention to the liquidity staking track projects of various public chains in the near term.
Other track performance
public chain
The top 5 public chains in TVL growth over the past week ( do not include smaller public chains in TVL )
| Project Name | Weekly Increase | TVL(million) | |----------|---------|--------------| | Hedera | 74.42% | 176.93 | | Zircuit | 70.79% | 329.84 | | Filecoin | 54.12% | 120.54 | | EOS | 47.66% | 259.38 | | Kaia | 41.28% | 117.16 |
Hedera: HBAR surged due to positive factors such as ETF applications and is considered severely undervalued. Hedera focuses on on-chain development, promoting AI, payments, and IoT growth. The ecosystem's largest project, SaucerSwap, has seen rapid growth in TVL, driving an overall increase in TVL.
Zircuit: ZRC listed on Coinone exchange, supported by Crypto.com. Collaborating with Elara to expand its use, supported by Kelp DAO to set up a gain vault, attracting $1 million in ETH on the day of launch.
Filecoin: FIL surged 44.36% this week, driving user participation in on-chain staking. The two largest on-chain LST and LRT projects, GLIF and Parasail, experienced growth rates of 36.75% and 40.78% respectively, contributing to an overall increase in TVL.
EOS: Participating in the creation of exSat Network for BTC-L2 to attract traffic. Starting to emphasize on-chain ecological construction, focusing on Gamefi, AI, and Depin projects. EOS surged 68.7% this week, leading to an increase in on-chain activities.
Kaia: launched