BTC pierced $93,300》Analyst: Volatility has dropped to a historical low, and a big market rally is coming soon

CoinDesk senior analyst James Van Straten said yesterday that the current Fluctuation rate of BTC has approached historical lows, which also indicates that BTC may soon experience dramatic Fluctuation. (Background: MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor released the 'BTC21 Rules': Disrespect BTC and wait to be a clown) (Background: Standard Chartered Bank: BTC is expected to Rebound and break through $100,000 next week, and the market has absorbed the negative news) BTC fluctuated lower again last night, reaching a low of $93,365 after 3 a.m., hitting a new low in 2/3 of the time. At the time of writing, it Rebounded above $95,000, but has not yet broken through the downtrend line, and the overall trend still needs further confirmation. Against this background, analyst James Van Straten pointed out in an analysis article yesterday that as a high-Fluctuation asset, BTC has been oscillating narrowly between $91,000 and $109,000 since late November last year, and its Fluctuation has significantly weakened. BTC's Fluctuation is approaching historical lows. James cited data from Glassnode, indicating that BTC's two-week realized Fluctuation (measuring BTC's Fluctuation over the past two weeks) has dropped to 32%, reaching one of the lowest levels in years; at the same time, the implied one-month Fluctuation of options (market's expectation of future four-week Fluctuation) has also dropped to 50%, similarly approaching historical lows. Expecting BTC to experience dramatic Fluctuation Soon. In response to this situation, James summarized that Fluctuation types often exhibit mean-reverting characteristics, so when the market is unusually stable, it often indicates a path is being paved for future dramatic Fluctuation: the longer the consolidation time, the narrower the range, and the more dramatic the eventual Fluctuation outbreak will be. In short, this ongoing range-bound consolidation may soon pave the way for dramatic price Fluctuation, but the question is whether this breakthrough will be upward or downward? Related reports: Abu Dhabi sovereign fund invests over $400 million in BTC ETF, BTC surges to 99,000 yuan. Will BTC rise back to 98,000? Options market: Big players continue dumping call options, bullish sentiment significantly weakens. Internet celebrity MrBeast is scared to tears after his BTC Private Key is stolen: fortunately, the thief is too stupid to hold all the BTC. <BTC pierced $93,300> Analyst: Fluctuation rate drops to historical lows, big market is coming. This article was first published on BlockTempo, the most influential blockchain news media.