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US bonds once broke through 5%! The bond frog is crazily sending graduation messages, is it time to catch the bottom?
As the Intrerest Rate of US Treasury bonds rises, the prices of long-term US Treasury bond ETFs continue to fall, and investors' losses continue to expand. Many US bond investors have recently posted so-called 'graduation essays' on social media, joking that 'send point questions have become life-threatening questions', and choosing to stop-loss and exit. (Background: US bonds hit a new high in 9 months! Wall Street: 10-year Intrerest Rate may rise to 5% by the end of this year) (Background: US 10-year Intrerest Rate rises above 4.5%! New Bond King: Trump will not buy Bitcoin before taking office) Friday’s non-farm payroll data far exceeded market expectations, and the US Treasury bond Intrerest Rate rose sharply. The 10-year Intrerest Rate of US Treasury bonds rose 11.6 basis points to 4.797%, the 2-year Intrerest Rate rose 13.4 basis points to 4.396%, and the 30-year Intrerest Rate of US Treasury bonds once again broke through 5%, reaching 5.0003%, the first time since November 2023. Graduation essays flooded the internet As the Intrerest Rate of US Treasury bonds rises, the prices of long-term US Treasury bond ETFs continue to fall, and investors' losses continue to expand. Many US bond investors have recently posted so-called 'graduation essays' on social media, joking that 'send point questions have become life-threatening questions', and choosing to stop-loss and exit. A PTT netizen nicknamed 'Xiao Cai' shared his experience. He had used the funds from 0050正二stake to purchase long-term US Treasury bonds, but because the brokerage firm raised the stake Intrerest Rate, he eventually decided to sell the US bonds and redeem the positive two, officially declaring 'graduation from bond frog'. This operation caused him a loss of 98,000 yuan. He sighed: 'There used to be very good book profits, thank you US bonds for letting me learn a lesson, and bowing down when I stepped down', and even self-deprecating as 'sucker'. Finally, he even joked: 'I want to take the money and add Ethercoin, I don't know if I should take a cold shower..' PTT netizens said they graduated from bond frogs Experts call 5% Intrerest Rate a good buy point However, many experts believe that if the 10-year Intrerest Rate of US Treasury bonds really rises to 5%, it will be a good buying point. Citigroup's chief investment strategist Steven Wieting said that a break in the Intrerest Rate of 5% would be 'a very attractive buying opportunity'. Robert Tipp, chief investment strategist for fixed income at PGIM Prudential, also believes that when the Intrerest Rate is close to 5%, it is worth considering entering the market. She further pointed out: The hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve in 2023 and the increase in bond supply are similar to the current situation. If the Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates and inflation eases in the future, these factors may limit the further rise in Intrerest Rate, making the 5% level a good time to invest. Luo Shiming, manager of the China Trust ESG Financial Multi-Asset Fund, said that through trend observation of the lattice chart, the trend of cutting Intrerest Rate remains unchanged in the long term, and the rise in Intrerest Rate provides a good opportunity for investors who have not entered the bond market. Investors can enter the market in a timely manner and extend their investment period to lock in profits. Criticized by PPT netizens However, after the news was reposted on PTT, it caused a heated discussion, and netizens left messages mocking: 'Will the next article be whether 6% of US bonds is a good buy point?', 'The gift package has become a brain package?', 'It seems that the lowest point has not been reached yet', 'US bonds 7% panic babies will soon appear'. Some people also believe that although 5% Intrerest Rate seems attractive, caution is still needed under the current situation: '5% is a big gift package under normal circumstances, but now Trump is in power.' However, some netizens have different opinions and believe that '5% Intrerest Rate is suitable for retired people to use for dividend distribution', or point out: 'As long as the US debt does not collapse, just keep buying, what are you afraid of?' Is it a good time to buy? When considering whether to enter the US bond market, investors should comprehensively evaluate the trend of the US economy, Trump's actions of launching a trade war, the policies of the Federal Reserve, and their own risk tolerance. It is recommended to adopt a phased approach to enter the market to diversify potential risks; if you are worried that the Intrerest Rate will rise further in the future, you can also choose short-term bonds to mitigate the impact of Intrerest Rate fluctuations. In addition, investors should clearly define their goals, whether they want to obtain stable Interest income or expect future price increases, and choose the appropriate bond variety for their goals. Related reports: When Trump took office, was it the 'lowest point' of BTC? Yellen warns that the US bond ceiling date is January 14-23 The US government shutdown crisis is resolved! Biden signs 'temporary spending bill', Trump calls for raising the debt ceiling to no avail US government shutdown countdown 1 day》Trump advocates: completely cancel the federal debt ceiling. This article was first published on the blockchain media BlockTempo.