BTC$95,000 fluctuation> The number of initial jobless claims in the United States is lower than expected, and the probability of the Fed not cutting interest rates in January next year is over 91%

The latest data released by the US Department of Labor yesterday (26) evening showed that the number of initial jobless claims in the United States fell to the lowest level in nearly a month after a quarterly adjustment in the week ended December 21, indicating that although the labor market has cooled, companies have avoided a wave of large-scale layoffs, and also hinted that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may not cut interest rates further. (Synopsis: BTC rose 5% overnight to break through $99,000!) BCA Research: Three reasons why the Fed will cut interest rates by more than 2 yards next year) (Background added: Arthur Hayes: The crypto market is expected to be in 1/20 big dump, and Trump will use the depreciation of the dollar to boost the US economy) BTC experienced a rapid fall yesterday afternoon, from $98,500 price drops to $3,000, causing many long stops to exit the market. At present, it continues to oscillate in a narrow range above $95,000, and although it has broken through 96,000 many times, it has quickly fallen back and has not yet seen a clear trend. On the other hand, the latest data released by the US Department of Labor yesterday (26) evening showed that the number of initial jobless claims in the United States fell to 219,000 after quarterly adjustment in the week ended December 21, down 1,000 from the previous week, and lower than market expectations of 224,000, the lowest level in nearly a month, indicating that although the labor market has cooled, companies have avoided a wave of large-scale layoffs, and also hinted that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may not cut interest rates further. At the same time, the overall unemployment rate in the United States is currently 4.2%, and according to the data of the past decade, although the labor market has tended to weaken, the unemployment situation is relatively moderate and has not yet shown signs of deterioration. Jefferies economist Thomas Simmons also said: Although the pace of hiring has slowed, the pace of layoffs and layoffs has not accelerated in tandem, reflecting the increased emphasis on the retention of scarce labor. 91.4% chance of Fed suspending rate cuts in January According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, the current market expects the US Federal Reserve to pause the pace of rate cuts in January next year, keeping the federal BenchmarkIntrerest Rate unchanged in the current 4.25% to 4.5% range at 91.4%, in line with the forecast a week ago. Source: CME Group FedWatch Tool Economist: U.S. recession risk drop After the release of the U.S. employment data last night, the U.S. stock market did not react significantly to BTC. As 2024 draws to a close, with inflation almost back to pre-pandemic levels, the economy continuing to rise, and the labor market still showing resilience, economists expect that the risk of a recession in the United States will drop and a soft landing is possible. However, it is worth noting that a major uncertainty factor that may be next year is the tariff policy that US President-elect Trump may implement, Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius and others pointed out: The biggest risk is large-scale comprehensive tariffs, which may seriously hit economic growth. Pantera founder: BTC has reached the escape speed If there is no interest rate cut in January next year, although it may not be good news for US stocks and BTC, but for the long-term trend of BTC, Pantera founder Dan Morehead also said in a recent interview that in 2024, BTC has shown a completely different situation than before, BTC has reached the escape speed, and there will be no large-scale regression: In 2013, There are also concerns about whether regulators will ban BTC. The situation is completely different in 2024, where BTC has reached escape speed. Extended reading: Forbes 2025 blockbuster prediction: G7 or BRICS countries will build BTC reserves, BTCFi significant rise, Stable CoinMarket Cap double Related reports BTC villain Peter Schiff: Trump's support for BTC will only weaken the US economy and waste billions of taxes Trump 2.0 policy may rekindle inflation! Krumman warns: tariff war, repatriation of migrant workers are not harmful to the US economy: Trump choked Taiwan to pay protection fees "TSMC fall broke K yuan"! White House: Taiwan's long-term military purchase of billions of magnesium, contributing a lot to the U.S. economy (BTC $95,000 shock) The number of initial jobless benefits in the United States is lower than expected, and the probability of the Fed not cutting interest rates in January next year exceeds 91%" This article was first published in BlockTempo "Dynamic Trends in Moving Areas - The Most Influential Block Chain News Media".