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Bitcoin falls below $90,000. Is a Bear Market coming in 2025? A survival guide for investors.
Bitcoin falls below the $90,000 mark, 2025 bear market warning and investor survival guide
Market Overview: Performance is sluggish
As of February 26, 2025, the price of Bitcoin has fallen to around $88,000, and other cryptocurrencies have also generally declined. The overall sentiment in the crypto market has returned to the lows of 2024. The reasons for this market downturn include selling pressure in the equity markets, outflows of funds from Bitcoin ETFs, the hacking of $1.5 billion worth of Ethereum from a certain trading platform, as well as uncertainties related to US-China trade tensions and US tariff policies. These factors have collectively created a risk-averse market environment, impacting the entire cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin Sees "Black Tuesday": Multiple Negative Factors Break Through $90,000 Support
On "Black Tuesday" on February 25, 2025, Bitcoin fell below the psychological barrier of $90,000 for the first time since November 2024, closing at $87,169, with a single-day decline of 7.25%. This crash was not driven by a single event, but rather by the cumulative effect of multiple risk factors:
The Trump administration announced a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico starting in March, causing U.S. Treasury yields to plummet to a two-month low, with global capital rapidly withdrawing from risk assets. DZ Bank analyst Marcel Heinrichs emphasized: "The risk-averse sentiment triggered by the tariff policy directly led to a chain sell-off in cryptocurrencies."
The incident of $1.5 billion worth of Ethereum being stolen from a certain trading platform continues to escalate. Although the platform quickly initiated insurance payouts, research shows that the stolen amount has exceeded 2.4 times that of the $625 million incident of Ronin Network in 2022, severely damaging the market's trust in centralized exchanges.
Bitcoin ETFs have seen net outflows for six consecutive days, with a single-day outflow exceeding $516 million on the 24th, setting a record high since the product was launched in January 2024. Data shows that the top ten ETFs have collectively lost $644 million this month, indicating that institutional investors are reassessing their allocation to crypto assets.
Future Trends: Key Indicators for the Second Half of 2025
Market analysts generally believe that the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in mid-March and the G20 finance ministers' summit will become key turning points. Although short-term gloom has not dissipated, derivatives market data shows that Bitcoin futures expiring in December 2025 still maintain a premium of $103,000, suggesting institutional confidence in long-term value.
| Time Node | Observation Indicator | Expected Impact | |---------|--------------|-------------| | March 2025 | Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision | If interest rate hike is paused or favorable for rebound | | June 2025 | EU MiCA regulation fully implemented | May trigger short-term liquidity tightening | | September 2025 | Bitcoin Halving Cycle Effect Starts | Historic Bullish Signal |
A co-founder of a certain project suggested: "Investors should pay attention to the dynamic changes in Bitcoin production costs. When the price falls below the miner shutdown price (currently estimated at $78,000), it often indicates that the market bottom is approaching."
Detailed Strategies for Asset Protection
The current market is sluggish, and macroeconomic pressures along with regulatory uncertainties may continue to affect market sentiment. During periods of market volatility, here are strategies investors can adopt to reduce risk and protect assets:
Hold (HODL)
Diversified Investment
Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)
Stop Loss Order
Transfer to stablecoin
Staking or Yield Farming
Risk Management
Conclusion
In the context of Bitcoin falling below $90,000, investors need to adopt diversified investment, stop-loss orders, and stablecoin strategies to protect their assets, while also focusing on secure storage and information updates. Through reasonable planning and risk management, losses can be minimized in a potential Bear Market while waiting for market recovery. It is important to emphasize that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and investors should remain vigilant at all times, manage risks appropriately, and develop suitable investment strategies based on their own circumstances.