"BTC holds steady near $109K – Cautious volatility, waiting for an unexpected 'breakout'!"

📈 Attractive lead:

Bitcoin is trading close to the $109,000 mark, reflecting short-term stability and the exploratory trend of investors.

🌐 Market update:
• Today's price: about $109,134, slightly up ~0.9% compared to yesterday  .
• Volatility range: from $108.158 to $109.720 – reflecting solid liquidity ().
• Weekly trend: still in the accumulation zone between $105,900–$110,000 since the end of June

🔄 Causes & price signals:
1. Cautious sentiment: BTC is forming a technical accumulation structure within a narrow range, with RSI remaining above 50 – indicating that the upward momentum is still present .
2. Macroeconomic Catalysts:
• The US-Vietnam trade agreement brings positive data flow, contributing to raising BTC above $110K last week  .
• ETF capital flow from institutions remains stable, BTC is expected to still be favored in long-term strategies ().
3. On‑chain & technical:
• Large transfer activity from the "Satoshi-era" – an old wallet moved 80,000 BTC, but has not yet hit the exchange – reducing the risk of large-scale sell-offs .
• The call option contract (calls) is centered at $110K – a signal of expected breakout .

⸻

🎯 Scenario:

Scenario Description
Bullish Hold above >$109K–109.800, BTC will test the ATH near $112K–114K in the coming weeks.
Bearish If it breaks down and closes below $107,000, BTC may drop to the support area of $105,400–$103,000 ().

📅 Note event schedule:
• 9/7/2025: deadline for tax imposition, which may cause short-term Volatility ().
• 22/7/2025: possibility of a "crypto executive order" – a major event that could influence price direction.

👉 Do you expect BTC to break through ATH or to correct and pull back?
💬 Comment & share your expectations – so we can follow the next steps together!