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Tonight is destined to be another sleepless night, as the interest rate data will be released at midnight. Many friends are already prepared to stay up late. For this kind of news, it’s like betting on the size, it's a fifty-fifty chance. Yibo will work with everyone to layout around the news, hoping that those who stay up late can make a killing. The Ethereum upgrade has provided technical support for the crypto world, and the Central Bank's interest rate cut brings liquidity expectations. The Federal Reserve's decision is the "steering wheel" for the short-term market. The triple event on May 7 may become a watershed for the trend of the crypto world in the second half of the year. For ordinary investors, instead of entangling in short-term rises and falls, it’s better to focus on long-term trends: if the Federal Reserve really starts to cut interest rates, combined with the performance improvement of Ethereum, the crypto world is very likely to usher in a new round of pump. But before that, maintaining patience and rationality is more important than blindly following the trend.
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The announcement of the interest rate and its speech are the fundamental factors that will have the greatest impact on the market in the near future. I still believe in a point of view: whether it is individuals, institutions, major indicators, etc., the impact on the market is time-limited, with the passage of time, the market will eventually return to the normal rhythm of operation. The tailwinds from the expected increase and escalation of rate cuts in June and July are likely to be offset by uncertainty over the Fed's decision. Bitcoin is likely to fluctuate in the $96,000-$98,000 range, and Ethereum is likely to fluctuate in the $1,800-$1,900 range. Bitcoin is holding steady at $97,500 and could hit $100,000; Conversely, a break below $96,000 could lead to a dip below $92,000. There is a probability of hitting the 2000 mark at $1920 on the Ethereum station, and there is a probability that it will continue to bottom out at 1680-1650 if it breaks 1780!