Musk's Grok asserts: Quantum Computing will not threaten Bitcoin within ten years, the SHA-256 Algorithm remains secure.

World's richest man Elon Musk assessed the potential threat of quantum computing to the encryption security of Bitcoin (BTC) through his AI chatbot Grok. Based on IBM research and the 2025 NIST paper predictions, Grok suggests that the probability of quantum computers cracking Bitcoin's core SHA-256 algorithm in the next five years is 'close to 0%', with risks still below 10% by 2035. Currently, quantum computers would need millions of error-corrected Quantum Bits to pose a substantial threat, while existing systems from Google and IBM are still in the early stages of error-correction technology. Bitcoin and Ethereum developers are actively preparing for anti-quantum algorithm upgrades (such as Bitcoin BIP proposals and Ethereum's ten-year streamlining plan) to address long-term risks. The current price of Bitcoin is reported at $114,704.1, with a nearly 2% rebound in the last 24 hours.

Musk inquires Grok: Will Quantum Computing threaten Bitcoin? As major companies compete to advance innovations in Quantum Computing, Elon Musk raised questions about the potential risks it poses to Bitcoin security. Musk's AI assistant Grok responded that, before the end of this decade (i.e., before 2030), Bitcoin will effectively resist Quantum Computing threats.

Grok: The probability of cracking within ten years is extremely low, requiring millions of error-correcting Quantum Bits In response to IBM's breakthroughs in the field of quantum computing, Musk requested Grok to assess the possibility of this technology cracking the SHA-256 algorithm (the core encryption algorithm for Bitcoin mining) on the social media platform X. Grok replied, stating: "The hash algorithm for Bitcoin is currently still secure," and that the probability of quantum computing cracking SHA-256 in the next five years is close to 0%. Although the probability will increase by 2035, at the current pace of innovation, the risk will still be below 10%. Grok emphasizes that malicious attackers would need millions of error-corrected quantum bits to break the Bitcoin encryption system. Currently, Google's and IBM's quantum systems have only demonstrated early results of error correction technology, and full error correction capability will take years to achieve. Although previous speculation that Google's Willow quantum chip might crack Bitcoin security raised concerns, the general consensus is that a true threat is still at least 10-20 years away.

Forecast Basis and IBM Roadmap The conclusion of Grok is mainly based on the 2025 NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology) paper and multiple studies by IBM. IBM plans to launch a series of quantum computers in the coming years, with the most powerful one, "IBM Quantum Blue Jay," expected to be released in 2033, equipped with 2,000 logical Quantum Bits.

Developers Prepare in Advance: Exploring Quantum-Resistant Solutions Although Grok's assessment alleviated short-term concerns, Bitcoin developers are adopting several proactive defense strategies to stay ahead:

• Bitcoin Anti-Quantum Algorithm Upgrade: Developers are exploring anti-quantum encryption algorithms through multiple Bitcoin Improvement Proposals (BIPs), aiming to gradually phase out the existing system.
• Ethereum 10-Year Streamlining Plan: Ethereum is also preparing for future quantum threats. Last week, developers unveiled a ten-year streamlining roadmap aimed at enhancing transaction speed while achieving Ethereum's quantum resistance.

Market Update: Bitcoin Recovers Some Ground As discussions about quantum threats heat up, Bitcoin is rebounding from a recent plunge. In the past 24 hours, its price fell below $112,000, but as of the time of writing, it has recovered to $114,704.1. Ethereum, on the other hand, remains above the critical level of $3,500.

Conclusion: The evaluation based on authoritative research injects confidence into Bitcoin holders, clarifying that the threat of Quantum Computing to the SHA-256 Algorithm remains a long-term risk. However, the crypto community has not been complacent; the anti-quantum proposals from Bitcoin core developers and Ethereum's decade-long planning highlight the industry's forward-looking layout for the future evolution of encryption security. As giants like IBM continue to push forward with quantum computing research and development, blockchain anti-quantum migration will become a key area of long-term technological competition. Currently, the market is more focused on short-term liquidity improvements and the fund flow of Bitcoin spot ETFs, and it remains to be seen whether BTC prices can maintain the rebound trend.